Association Between Atrial Fibrillation Symptoms and Clinical Outcomes: A Prospective Multicenter Registry Study.

The presence of symptoms plays an important role in determining whether to focus on rhythm control or rate control when treating atrial fibrillation (AF). Previous comparative studies on the clinical outcomes of symptomatic and asymptomatic AF have yielded inconsistent results, and a link between AF symptoms and left atrial (LA) remodeling is not established. Patients selected from the COmparison study of Drugs for symptom control and complication prEvention of AF (CODE-AF) registry, which is a prospective, multicenter study consisting of patients with non-valvular AF, were grouped into 2 groups: symptomatic and asymptomatic. The primary outcome was a composite of the following cardiovascular outcomes: all-cause death, ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, systemic embolism, myocardial infarction, and heart failure hospitalization. Of 10,210 patients with AF, 4,327 (42%) had symptomatic AF. The asymptomatic group had an older mean age, more men, and more patients with hypertension and diabetes mellitus than the symptomatic group. The asymptomatic group had a larger left atrium (LA) diameter (43.6 vs 42.2 mm, p <0.001) than the symptomatic group. During a median follow-up of 32.9 (29.5 to 36.4) months, the asymptomatic and symptomatic groups showed similar incidences of the primary outcome (1.44 vs 1.45 per 100 person-years; log-rank, p = 0.8). In conclusion, the absence of AF symptoms is associated with increased LA. However, symptomatic and asymptomatic patients with AF have a similar risk of cardiovascular outcomes. This suggests that beneficial treatment for AF may be considered regardless of whether patients have symptomatic or asymptomatic AF.

Comparative effectiveness of factor Xa non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants versus phenprocoumon in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) have largely supplanted vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) for oral anticoagulation in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). However, data on the real-world effectiveness of NOACs vs. phenprocoumon, a VKA widely used in Germany, are limited. The RELOADED study aimed to compare effectiveness of factor Xa NOACs and phenprocoumon in NVAF in clinical practice. METHODS: Patients who started on a factor Xa NOAC or phenprocoumon for NVAF during the study period were enrolled from the Institute for Applied Healthcare Research Berlin. Patients were followed from first prescription until the end of exposure or available data. Primary outcomes were analyzed by Cox proportional hazard regression models and included ischemic stroke and systemic embolism for effectiveness, and intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) for safety. Subgroups of interest were patients with diabetes and patients with renal impairment. RESULTS: The total study population was 64,920; 36.3% of patients initiated phenprocoumon, 34.4% initiated rivaroxaban, 25.0% apixaban, and 4.4% edoxaban. Treatment with phenprocoumon is associated with a similar risk of ischemic stroke/systemic embolism as treatment with rivaroxaban or apixaban; while rivaroxaban (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.57, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.43-0.75) and apixaban (adjusted HR 0.43, 95% CI 0.31-0.6) were associated with a lower risk of ICH compared to phenprocoumon in NVAF patients. The use of rivaroxaban and apixaban was associated with a lower risk of developing kidney failure in patients with diabetes or renal impairment in comparison to those treated with phenprocoumon. CONCLUSION: The factor Xa NOACs rivaroxaban and apixaban demonstrated similar effectiveness and lower rates of ICH compared with phenprocoumon in this study.

Coronary events in elderly patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation: a prespecified sub-analysis of the ANAFIE registry.

Real-world data on coronary events (CE) in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are lacking in the direct oral anticoagulant era. This prespecified sub-analysis of the ANAFIE Registry, a prospective observational study in > 30,000 Japanese patients aged ≥ 75 years with non-valvular AF (NVAF), investigated CE incidence and risk factors. The incidence and risk factors for new-onset CE (a composite of myocardial infarction [MI] and cardiac intervention for coronary heart diseases other than MI), MI, and cardiac intervention for coronary heart diseases other than MI during the 2-year follow-up were assessed. Bleeding events in CE patients were also examined. Among 32,275 patients, the incidence rate per 100 patient-years was 0.48 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.42-0.53) for CE during the 2-year follow-up, 0.20 (0.16-0.23) for MI, and 0.29 (0.25-0.33) for cardiac intervention for coronary heart diseases other than MI; that of stroke/systemic embolism was 1.62 (1.52-1.73). Patients with CE (n = 287) likely had lower creatinine clearance (CrCL) and higher CHADS2 and HAS-BLED scores than patients without CE (n = 31,988). Significant risk factors associated with new-onset CE were male sex, systolic blood pressure of ≥ 130 mmHg, diabetes mellitus (glycated hemoglobin ≥ 6.0%), CE history, antiplatelet agent use, and CrCL < 50 mL/min. Major bleeding incidence was significantly higher in patients with new-onset CE vs without CE (odds ratio [95% CI], 3.35 [2.06-5.43]). In elderly patients with NVAF, CE incidence was lower than stroke/systemic embolism incidence. New-onset CE (vs no CE) was associated with a higher incidence of major bleeding.Trial registration: UMIN000024006.

Efficacy and Safety of Low-Dose Edoxaban by Body Weight in Very Elderly Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: A Subanalysis of the Randomized ELDERCARE-AF Trial.

BACKGROUND: The ELDERCARE-AF trial showed that low-dose edoxaban benefits elderly patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation considered ineligible for standard oral anticoagulants due to high bleeding risk, but whether this applied to patients with extremely low body weight was unclear. METHODS AND RESULTS: This was a prespecified subanalysis by body weight (≤45, >45 kg) of the phase 3, multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, event-driven ELDERCARE-AF trial, which compared low-dose edoxaban (15 mg once daily) with placebo in Japanese patients considered ineligible for oral anticoagulants at the recommended therapeutic strength or the approved doses. The primary efficacy and safety end points were stroke or systemic embolism and major bleeding (International Society on Thrombosis and Hemostasis definition), respectively. The ≤45-kg weight group included 374/984 patients (38.0%), and the >45-kg group included 610/984 patients (62.0%). The stroke or systemic embolism rate was lower with edoxaban than placebo in both weight groups (≤45 kg: hazard ratio [HR], 0.36 [95% CI, 0.16-0.80]; >45 kg: HR, 0.31 [95% CI, 0.13-0.73]; interaction P=0.82). Major bleeding incidence was numerically higher with edoxaban than placebo (≤45 kg: HR, 3.05 [95% CI, 0.84-11.11]; >45 kg: HR, 1.40 [95% CI, 0.56-3.48), with no interaction with body weight (interaction P=0.33). All-cause mortality was higher in the ≤45-kg group, with no significant difference between treatment groups. CONCLUSIONS: The benefit of edoxaban 15 mg was consistent in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation and extremely low body weight, though clinicians must remain vigilant about the risk of major bleeding, especially gastrointestinal bleeding. REGISTRATION INFORMATION: ClinicalTrials.gov. Identifier: NCT02801669.

Use of Direct-Acting Oral Anticoagulants in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Significant Tricuspid Regurgitation.

BACKGROUND: There are limited data on the efficacy and safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in patients with atrial fibrillation with significant tricuspid regurgitation (TR), which can lead to hepatic dysfunction and intestinal malabsorption. We aimed to compare the efficacy and safety of DOACs and warfarin for patients with atrial fibrillation with significant (moderate to severe) TR. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 1215 patients with significant TR and atrial fibrillation who were treated with warfarin (N=491) or DOACs (N=724) were retrospectively analyzed. The primary outcomes were ischemic stroke, systemic embolic events, and hospitalization for major bleeding. The secondary outcomes were intracranial hemorrhage, hospitalization for gastrointestinal bleeding, all-cause mortality, and a composite outcome. The median follow-up duration was 2.4 years. In the inverse probability treatment weighting-adjusted cohort, DOACs and warfarin had a similar risk for ischemic stroke and systemic embolic events (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.95 [95% CI, 0.67-1.36]; P=0.79) and major bleeding (aHR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.57-1.06]; P=0.11). For the secondary outcomes, relative to warfarin, DOACs had a lower risk of intracranial hemorrhage and the composite outcome, and a comparable risk for gastrointestinal bleeding and all-cause mortality. In the subgroup analysis, the effects of DOACs on ischemic stroke and systemic embolic events were comparable to the effects of warfarin, even in patients with inferior vena cava plethora (increased right atrial pressure) or severe TR. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, relative to warfarin, DOACs demonstrated comparable efficacy for ischemic stroke and systemic embolic events and major bleeding, with a lower intracranial hemorrhage risk in patients with significant TR and atrial fibrillation, indicating their effectiveness and safety.

Factors Associated With Incidental Retinal Emboli in the U.S. Adult Population.

PURPOSE: We sought to estimate the prevalence of incidental retinal emboli and identify associated factors using a nationally representative sample of the U.S. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. METHODS: We included adult (age ≥40 years) participants of the 2005-2008 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Incidental retinal emboli were identified through retinal fundus photography. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine the association between the presence of retinal emboli and sociodemographic, lifestyle, and clinical factors (age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, income, smoking, alcohol use, body mass index [BMI], hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, and history of cardiovascular disease). RESULTS: This study included 5,764 adults (53% female). Incidental retinal emboli were identified in 0.7% (39/5764) of individuals. The survey-weighted prevalence of retinal emboli increased with age, from 0.1% in participants 40-49 years of age to 1.4% in participants≥70 years of age. The prevalence did not differ by sex or race/ethnicity. Factors associated with retinal emboli after adjusting for age and sex included underweight BMI (odds ratio [OR] 7.24 [95% confidence interval {CI} 1.06-49.3]), current smoking (OR 6.16 [95% CI 1.49-25.5]), low household income (OR 4.41 [95% CI 1.3-15.0]), and hypertension (OR 2.67 [95% CI 1.31-5.44]). CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort representative of the U.S. adult population, the prevalence of incidental retinal emboli increased with age but did not differ by sex, race, or ethnicity. Further investigation into the potential association of socioeconomic and nutritional status with retinal emboli may enable opportunities to identify individuals with underlying cardiovascular risk.

Predictors of Cerebral Embolic Debris During Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement: The SafePass 2 First-in-Human Study.

Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) generates significant debris, and strategies to mitigate cerebral embolization are needed. The novel Emboliner embolic protection catheter (Emboline, Inc., Santa Cruz, California) is designed to capture all particles generated during TAVR. This first-in-human study sought to assess the safety and feasibility of the device and to characterize the distribution and histopathology of the debris generated during TAVR. The SafePass 2 study was a prospective, nonrandomized, multicenter, single-arm investigation of the Emboliner device. Primary end points included 30-day major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) and technical performance. Computed tomography angiography was analyzed by an independent core laboratory, and filters were sent for histopathology of captured debris. Predictors of particle number were identified using >150 µm and >500 µm size thresholds. Of 31 subjects enrolled, technical success was 100%, and 30-day MACCE was 6.5% (2 cerebrovascular accidents, with 1 attributed to subtherapeutic dosing of rivaroxaban along with atrial fibrillation and the other to possible previous small ischemic strokes on magnetic resonance imaging; neither MACCE event had a causal relation to the Emboliner). All filters contained debris, with a median of 191.0 particles >150 µm and 14.0 particles >500 µm. Histopathology revealed mostly acute thrombus and valve or arterial tissue with lesser amounts of calcified tissue. A history of atrial fibrillation predicted a greater number of particles >500 µm (p = 0.0259) and its presence on admission was associated with 4.1 times more particles >150 µm (p = 0.0130) and 8.1 times more particles >500 µm (p = 0.0086). Self-expanding valves were associated with twice the number of particles >150 µm (p = 0.0281). TASK score was positively correlated with number of particles >500 µm (p = 0.0337). The Emboliner device was safe and feasible. Emboli after TAVR appear more numerous than previously documented. Atrial fibrillation, higher TASK score, and self-expanding valve use conferred higher embolic burden. Notably, none of the tested computed tomography angiography features were able to identify with higher embolic risk. Larger-scale studies are needed to identify high-risk patients for selective embolic protection device use.

Coronary Embolism After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement-Case Series and Review of Literature.

Periprocedural systemic embolism is a well-documented complication of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). Although the most focus was given to cerebral embolism (which remains unpredictable, difficult to prevent, and a source of increased morbidity and mortality after TAVR), coronary embolism remains less investigated and potentially overlooked. This study provides a case series of 3 patients diagnosed with coronary embolism after TAVR in our institution over a 2-year period (3 of 297 cases, 1%) and a systematic literature review (4 studies; 19 case reports). Overall, coronary embolism associated with TAVR is frequently characterized by proximal vessel occlusion causing ST-elevation myocardial infarction and hemodynamic instability with lower mortality in the acute phase as compared with late coronary embolism. However, it often presents with distal vessel occlusion and minor symptoms that may be overlooked in the periprocedural period. In conclusion, we suggest that TAVR-associated coronary embolism has a much higher prevalence than previously documented. Further studies are warranted to properly assess the prevalence and impact of this phenomenon.

Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Direct Oral Anticoagulants Versus Warfarin in Atrial Fibrillation With Low Stroke Risk.

Pivotal trials comparing direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) against warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) predominantly involved patients with high stroke risk. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of DOAC versus warfarin in patients with low stroke risk. An online literature search was conducted to retrieve studies comparing clinical outcomes between patients treated with DOAC versus warfarin for AF, reporting outcomes for patients at low or minimal risk of stroke (CHA2DS2-VASc scores ranging from 0 to 2 or CHADS2 scores ranging from 0 to 1). The primary outcome was the occurrence of stroke or systemic embolism. Secondary outcomes included major bleeding, intracranial hemorrhage, and all-cause mortality. Hazard ratios for all outcomes were pooled in random-effects meta-analyses. A network meta-analysis of individual DOACs versus warfarin was also conducted. In total, 11 studies (132,980 patients) were included. DOAC was associated with a significantly lower risk of stroke or systemic embolism (hazard ratio 0.85, 95% confidence interval 0.75 to 0.96, p = 0.008, I2 = 0%), major bleeding, intracranial hemorrhage, and mortality compared with warfarin. This benefit persisted even when study arms which had CHA2DS2-VASc scores of 2 were excluded. When restricted to 3 studies investigating only patients with a single nongender-related stroke risk factor, significant benefit was seen only for the outcome of major bleeding. In the network meta-analysis, only dabigatran was superior to warfarin for all 4 outcomes. In conclusion, DOACs should be the standard of care in low-risk patients with AF who require anticoagulation. In particular, dabigatran appears to have the best balance of stroke prevention and reduction in major bleeding.

Clinical outcomes in elderly atrial fibrillation patients at increased bleeding risk treated with very low dose vs. regular-dose non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants: a nationwide cohort study.

AIMS: The Edoxaban Low-Dose for Elder Care Atrial Fibrillation Patients (ELDERCARE-AF) trial showed that edoxaban at a very low dosage (VLD) of 15 mg/day was more effective than a placebo at preventing stroke/systemic embolism without significantly increasing the risk of serious bleeding. We aimed to compare the effectiveness and safety for VLD non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) [edoxaban 15 mg o.d., dabigatran 110 or 150 o.d., apixaban 2.5 mg o.d., or rivaroxaban 10 mg (without the diagnosis of chronic kidney disease) or <10 mg o.d.] vs. regular-dosage (RD) NOACs (edoxaban 60/30 mg o.d. or other labeling-dosage NOACs) among a real-world cohort of elderly atrial fibrillation (AF) population similar to the ELDERCARE-AF cohort. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this nationwide retrospective cohort study from Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD), we identified a total of 7294 and 4151 consecutive AF patients aged 80 years or older with a CHADS2 (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age 75 years or older, diabetes mellitus, previous stroke/transient ischemic attack (2 points) score ≥2 who met the enrollment criteria (generally similar to ELDERCARE-AF) taking VLD and RD NOACs from 1 June 2012 to 31 December 2019, respectively. Propensity-score stabilized weighting (PSSW) was used to balance covariates across study groups. Patients were followed up from the first date of prescription for NOACs until the first occurrence of any study outcome, death, or until the end date of the study period (31 December 2020). After PSSW, VLD NOAC was associated with a comparable risk of ischemic stroke/systemic embolism and major bleeding but a higher risk of major adverse limb events (MALEs) requiring lower limb revascularization or amputation [hazard ratio (HR): 1.54, 95% confidential interval (CI): 1.09-2.18; P = 0.014), venous thrombosis (HR: 3.75, 95% CI: 1.56-8.97; P = 0.003), and all-cause mortality (HR: 1.21, 95% CI: 1.15-1.29; P <0.001) compared with RD NOACs. VLD NOACs showed worse outcomes in most net clinical outcome (NCO) benefits. The main result was consistent based on on-treatment analysis or accounting for death as a competing risk. In general, the advantage of NCOs for the RD NOACs over VLD NOACs persisted in most high-risk subgroups, consistent with the main analysis (P for interaction > 0.05). CONCLUSION: Use of VLD NOACs was associated with a greater risk of arterial and venous thrombosis, death as well as the composite outcomes, when compared with that of RD NOAC in high-risk elderly AF patients at increased bleeding risk. Thromboprophylaxis with RD NOAC is still preferable over VLD NOAC for the majority of elderly AF patients at increased bleeding risk.

Predicting Treatment Effects of a New-to-Market Drug in Clinical Practice Based on Phase III Randomized Trial Results.

Trial results may not be generalizable to target populations treated in clinical practice with different distributions of baseline characteristics that modify the treatment effect. We used outcome models developed with trial data to predict treatment effects in Medicare populations. We used data from the Randomized Evaluation of Long-Term Anticoagulation Therapy trial (RE-LY), which investigated the effect of dabigatran vs. warfarin on stroke or systemic embolism (stroke/SE) among patients with atrial fibrillation. We developed outcome models by fitting proportional hazards models in trial data. Target populations were trial-eligible Medicare beneficiaries who initiated dabigatran or warfarin in 2010-2011 ("early") and 2010-2017 ("extended"). We predicted 2-year risk ratios (RRs) and risk differences (RDs) for stroke/SE, major bleeding, and all-cause death in the Medicare populations using the observed baseline characteristics. The trial and early target populations had similar mean (SD) CHADS2 scores (2.15 (SD 1.13) vs. 2.15 (SD 0.91)) but different mean ages (71 vs. 79 years). Compared with RE-LY, the early Medicare population had similar predicted benefit of dabigatran vs. warfarin for stroke/SE (trial RR = 0.63, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.50 to 0.76 and RD = -1.37%, -1.96% to -0.77%, Medicare RR = 0.73, 0.65 to 0.82 and RD = -0.92%, -1.26% to -0.59%) and risks for major bleeding and all-cause death. The time-extended target population showed similar results. Outcome model-based prediction facilitates estimating the average treatment effects of a drug in different target populations when treatment and outcome data are unreliable or unavailable. The predicted effects may inform payers' coverage decisions for patients, especially shortly after a drug's launch when observational data are scarce.

Effectiveness and safety of secondary prevention of non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants use by drug type in Asian patients.

BACKGROUND: Although widely used in clinical fields, real-world data on the role of warfarin and non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) for the secondary prevention of thromboembolic complications in ischemic stroke patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) are scarce. AIMS: This retrospective cohort study compared the effectiveness and safety of secondary prevention of NOAC and warfarin in ischemic stroke patients with NVAF. METHODS: From the Korean National Health Insurance Service Database, we included 16,762 oral anticoagulants-naive acute ischemic stroke patients with NVAF between July 2016 and June 2019. The main outcomes included ischemic stroke, systemic embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause of death. RESULTS: In total, 1717 warfarin and 15,025 NOAC users were included in the analysis. After 1:8 propensity score matching, during the observation period, all types of NOACs had a significantly lower risk of ischemic stroke and systemic embolism than warfarin (edoxaban: adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.80; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.68-0.93, rivaroxaban: aHR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.70-0.96, apixaban: aHR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.69-0.91, and dabigatran: aHR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.69-0.97). Edoxaban (aHR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.62-0.96), apixaban (aHR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.60-0.90), and dabigatran (aHR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.51-0.86) had lower risks of major bleeding and all-cause of death. CONCLUSIONS: All NOACs were more effective than warfarin in the secondary prevention of thromboembolic complications in ischemic stroke patients with NVAF. Except for rivaroxaban, most NOACs demonstrated a lower risk of major bleeding and all-cause of death than warfarin.

Risk for Bleeding-Related Hospitalizations During Use of Amiodarone With Apixaban or Rivaroxaban in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation : A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Amiodarone, the most effective antiarrhythmic drug in atrial fibrillation, inhibits apixaban and rivaroxaban elimination, thus possibly increasing anticoagulant-related risk for bleeding. OBJECTIVE: For patients receiving apixaban or rivaroxaban, to compare risk for bleeding-related hospitalizations during treatment with amiodarone versus flecainide or sotalol, antiarrhythmic drugs that do not inhibit these anticoagulants' elimination. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: U.S. Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 years or older. PATIENTS: Patients with atrial fibrillation began anticoagulant use between 1 January 2012 and 30 November 2018 and subsequently initiated treatment with study antiarrhythmic drugs. MEASUREMENTS: Time to event for bleeding-related hospitalizations (primary outcome) and ischemic stroke, systemic embolism, and death with or without recent (past 30 days) evidence of bleeding (secondary outcomes), adjusted with propensity score overlap weighting. RESULTS: There were 91 590 patients (mean age, 76.3 years; 52.5% female) initiating use of study anticoagulants and antiarrhythmic drugs, 54 977 with amiodarone and 36 613 with flecainide or sotalol. Risk for bleeding-related hospitalizations increased with amiodarone use (rate difference [RD], 17.5 events [95% CI, 12.0 to 23.0 events] per 1000 person-years; hazard ratio [HR], 1.44 [CI, 1.27 to 1.63]). Incidence of ischemic stroke or systemic embolism did not increase (RD, -2.1 events [CI, -4.7 to 0.4 events] per 1000 person-years; HR, 0.80 [CI, 0.62 to 1.03]). The risk for death with recent evidence of bleeding (RD, 9.1 events [CI, 5.8 to 12.3 events] per 1000 person-years; HR, 1.66 [CI, 1.35 to 2.03]) was greater than that for other deaths (RD, 5.6 events [CI, 0.5 to 10.6 events] per 1000 person-years; HR, 1.15 [CI, 1.00 to 1.31]) (HR comparison: P = 0.003). The increased incidence of bleeding-related hospitalizations for rivaroxaban (RD, 28.0 events [CI, 18.4 to 37.6 events] per 1000 person-years) was greater than that for apixaban (RD, 9.1 events [CI, 2.8 to 15.3 events] per 1000 person-years) (P = 0.001). LIMITATION: Possible residual confounding. CONCLUSION: In this retrospective cohort study, patients aged 65 years or older with atrial fibrillation treated with amiodarone during apixaban or rivaroxaban use had greater risk for bleeding-related hospitalizations than those treated with flecainide or sotalol. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute.

Direct Oral Anticoagulants Versus Warfarin Across the Spectrum of Kidney Function: Patient-Level Network Meta-Analyses From COMBINE AF.

BACKGROUND: There is uncertainty surrounding the use of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in patients with kidney dysfunction. METHODS: Using the COMBINE AF (A Collaboration Between Multiple Institutions to Better Investigate Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulant Use in Atrial Fibrillation) database (data from RE-LY [Randomized Evaluation of Long-term Anticoagulation Therapy], ROCKET AF [Rivaroxaban Once Daily Oral Direct Factor Xa Inhibition Compared With Vitamin K Antagonism for Prevention of Stroke and Embolism Trial in Atrial Fibrillation], ARISTOTLE [Apixaban for Reduction in Stroke and Other Thromboembolic Events in Atrial Fibrillation], and ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 [Effective Anticoagulation With Factor Xa Next Generation in Atrial Fibrillation-Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction 48]), we performed an individual patient-level network meta-analysis to evaluate the safety and efficacy of DOACs versus warfarin across continuous creatinine clearance (CrCl). A multivariable Cox model including treatment-by-CrCl interaction with random effects was fitted to estimate hazard ratios for paired treatment strategies (standard-dose DOAC, lower-dose DOAC, and warfarin). Outcomes included stroke and systemic embolism (S/SE), major bleeding, intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), and death. RESULTS: Among 71 683 patients (mean age, 70.6±9.4 years; 37.3% female; median follow-up, 23.1 months), the mean CrCl was 75.5±30.5 mL/min. The incidence of S/SE, major bleeding, ICH, and death increased significantly with worsening kidney function. Across continuous CrCl values down to 25 mL/min, the hazard of major bleeding did not change for patients randomized to standard-dose DOACs compared with those randomized to warfarin (Pinteraction=0.61). Compared with warfarin, standard-dose DOAC use resulted in a significantly lower hazard of ICH at CrCl values <122 mL/min, with a trend for increased safety with DOAC as CrCl decreased (6.2% decrease in hazard ratio per 10-mL/min decrease in CrCl; Pinteraction=0.08). Compared with warfarin, standard-dose DOAC use resulted in a significantly lower hazard of S/SE with CrCl <87 mL/min, with a significant treatment-by-CrCl effect (4.8% decrease in hazard ratio per 10-mL/min decrease in CrCl; Pinteraction=0.01). The hazard of death was significantly lower with standard-dose DOACs for patients with CrCl <77 mL/min, with a trend toward increasing benefit with lower CrCl (2.1% decrease in hazard ratio per 10-mL/min decrease in CrCl; Pinteraction=0.08). Use of lower-dose rather than standard-dose DOACs was not associated with a significant difference in incident bleeding or ICH in patients with reduced kidney function but was associated with a higher incidence4 of death and S/SE. CONCLUSIONS: Standard-dose DOACs are safer and more effective than warfarin down to a CrCl of at least 25 mL/min. Lower-dose DOACs do not significantly lower the incidence of bleeding or ICH compared with standard-dose DOACs but are associated with a higher incidence of S/SE and death. These findings support the use of standard-dose DOACs over warfarin in patients with kidney dysfunction.

Visit-to-Visit Heart Rate Variability in the Prediction of Clinical Outcomes of Patients with Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Visit-to-visit heart rate variability (VVV-HR) has been associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes. We aimed to determine the predictive value of VVV-HR for adverse clinical outcomes in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: We used data from a prospective multicenter AF registry of 27 hospitals in Thailand during 2014 to 2017. After the baseline visit, patients were followed up every 6 months until 3 years. VVV-HR was calculated from the standard deviation of heart rate data from baseline visit and every follow-up visit. VVV-HR was categorized into four groups according to the quartiles. Clinical outcomes were all-cause death, ischemic stroke/systemic embolism (SE), and heart failure. Cox proportional hazard models were used for multivariable analysis. RESULTS: There were a total of 3,174 patients (mean age: 67.7 years; 41.8% female). The incidence rates of all-cause death, ischemic stroke/SE, and heart failure were 3.10 (2.74-3.49), 1.42 (1.18-1.69), and 2.09 (1.80-2.42) per 100 person-years respectively. The average heart rate was 77.8 ± 11.0 bpm and the average of standard deviation of heart rate was 11.0 ± 5.9 bpm. VVV-HR Q4 was an independent predictor of all-cause death, ischemic stroke/SE, and heart failure with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.45 (95% confidence interval: 1.07-1.98), 2.02 (1.24-3.29), and 2.63 (1.75-3.96), respectively. VVV-HR still remained a significant predictor of clinical outcomes when analyzed based on coefficient of variation and variability independent of mean. CONCLUSION: VVV-HR is an independent predictor for adverse clinical outcomes in patients with AF. A J-curve appearance was demonstrated for the effect of VVV-HR on all-cause death.

Ischemic Stroke and Systemic Embolism Among One-and-Done Direct Oral Anticoagulant Users with Non-valvular Atrial Fibrillation.

INTRODUCTION: Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are essential in ischemic stroke/systemic embolism (SE) prevention among patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). This study compared the risk of ischemic stroke/SE among patients with NVAF who discontinued DOACs following the first fill ("one-and-done") relative to patients who continued DOACs beyond the first fill ("continuers"). METHODS: De-identified data from Symphony Health, an ICON plc Company, PatientSource®, April 1, 2017 to October 31, 2020, were used to identify adults with NVAF initiated on DOACs (index date). Patients with only one DOAC claim during the 90-day landmark period starting on the index date were classified as one-and-done and the remaining as continuers. Inverse probability of treatment weighting was used to balance baseline characteristics in the cohorts. Time from the landmark period end to the first ischemic stroke/SE event or, among those without the event, to clinical activity or data end was compared between balanced cohorts using survival analysis. RESULTS: Of patients initiating DOACs, 23.6% were classified as one-and-done users. After weighting was performed, 241,159 and 238,889 patients comprised the one-and-done and continuer cohorts, respectively. At 12 months of follow-up, the probability of ischemic stroke/SE was 1.44% in the one-and-done cohort and 1.00% in the continuer cohort [hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) 1.44 (1.34-1.54); p < 0.0001]. Results at earlier and later time points and in a sensitivity analysis with a 75-day landmark period were similar. CONCLUSION: A substantial proportion of patients were one-and-done DOAC users, which was associated with significantly higher risk of ischemic stroke/SE events. There is an unmet need to improve access and encourage continuous use of DOACs among patients with NVAF so that severe and fatal complications may be mitigated.

Comparative Effectiveness and Safety of Direct Oral Anticoagulants and Warfarin in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Chronic Liver Disease: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The benefit-risk profile of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) compared with warfarin, and between DOACs in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic liver disease is unclear. METHODS: We conducted a new-user, retrospective cohort study of patients with AF and chronic liver disease who were enrolled in a large, US-based administrative database between January 1, 2011, and December 31, 2017. We assessed the effectiveness and safety of DOACs (as a class and individually) compared with warfarin, and between DOACs in patients with AF and chronic liver disease. The primary outcomes were hospitalization for ischemic stroke/systemic embolism and hospitalization for major bleeding. Inverse probability treatment weights were used to balance the treatment groups on measured confounders. RESULTS: Overall, 10 209 participants were included, with 4421 (43.2%) on warfarin, 2721 (26.7%) apixaban, 2211 (21.7%) rivaroxaban, and 851 (8.3%) dabigatran. The incidence rates per 100 person-years for ischemic stroke/systemic embolism were 2.2, 1.4, 2.6, and 4.4 for DOACs as a class, apixaban, rivaroxaban, and warfarin, respectively. The incidence rates per 100 person-years for major bleeding were 7.9, 6.5, 9.1, and 15.0 for DOACs as a class, apixaban, rivaroxaban, and warfarin, respectively. After inverse probability treatment weights, the risk of hospitalization for ischemic stroke/systemic embolism was significantly lower between DOACs as a class (hazard ratio [HR], 0.64 [95% CI, 0.46-0.90]) or apixaban (HR, 0.40 [95% CI, 0.19-0.82]) compared with warfarin, but not significantly different between rivaroxaban versus warfarin (HR, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.47-1.21]) or rivaroxaban versus apixaban (HR, 1.73 [95% CI, 0.91-3.29]). Compared with warfarin, the risk of hospitalization for major bleeding was lower with DOACs as a class (HR, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.58-0.82]), apixaban (HR, 0.60 [95% CI, 0.46-0.78]), and rivaroxaban (HR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.62-1.0]). However, the risk of hospitalization for major bleeding was higher for rivaroxaban versus apixaban (HR, 1.59 [95% CI, 1.18-2.14]). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with AF and chronic liver disease, DOACs as a class were associated with lower risks of hospitalization for ischemic stroke/systemic embolism and major bleeding versus warfarin. However, the incidence of clinical outcomes among patients with AF and chronic liver disease varied between individual DOACs and warfarin, and in head-to-head DOAC comparisons.

Comparative Effectiveness of Left Atrial Appendage Occlusion Versus Oral Anticoagulation by Sex.

BACKGROUND: The comparative real-world outcomes of older patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) treated with anticoagulation compared with left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) may be different from those in clinical trials because of differences in anticoagulation strategies and patient demographics, including a greater proportion of women. We sought to compare real-world outcomes between older patients with AF treated with anticoagulation and those treated with LAAO by sex. METHODS: Using Medicare claims data from 2015 to 2019, we identified LAAO-eligible beneficiaries and divided them into sex subgroups. Patients receiving LAAO were matched 1:1 to those receiving anticoagulation alone through propensity score matching. The risks of mortality, stroke or systemic embolism, and bleeding were compared between matched groups with adjustment for potential confounding characteristics in Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Among women, 4085 LAAO recipients were matched 1:1 to those receiving anticoagulation; among men, 5378 LAAO recipients were similarly matched. LAAO was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of mortality for women and men (hazard ratio [HR], 0.509 [95% CI, 0.447-0.580]; and HR, 0.541 [95% CI, 0.487-0.601], respectively; P<0.0001), with a similar finding for stroke or systemic embolism (HR, 0.655 [95% CI, 0.555-0.772]; and HR, 0.649 [95% CI, 0.552-0.762], respectively; P<0.0001). Bleeding risk was significantly greater in LAAO recipients early after implantation but lower after the 6-week periprocedural period for women and men (HR, 0.772 [95% CI, 0.676-0.882]; and HR, 0.881 [95% CI, 0.784-0.989], respectively; P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: In a real-world population of older Medicare beneficiaries with AF, compared with anticoagulation, LAAO was associated with a reduction in the risk of death, stroke, and long-term bleeding among women and men. These findings should be incorporated into shared decision-making with patients considering strategies for reduction in AF-related stroke.